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Phoenix Suns - First 10 Games Analysis

We are ten games into the Season and we have already gone through a rollercoaster of emotions. But it's okay. We know the drill here at Bright Side of The Sun, after all... this is Suns Basketball right?

Whoever said that the Suns were going to be boring was wrong. So far we have had some interesting things going on in Planet Orange that have made us feel: sad, bitter, frustrated, cheated, confused and amazed. The Suns are still very entertaining, not the way that we hoped for but still entertaining and by the way...our record (7-3) is not horrible.

Let's talk basketball.

 

Star-divide

If someone would have travelled into the future and came back to tell me that the good guys were going to have a 7-3 record on Nov. 16th I would have been pleased. Yes, I'd have probably asked him if we were going to win the championship instead but you get my point.

Down to business.

Offensive Stats

The Suns have showed the ability to score in bunches, we encountered a little bit of a speed bump in the last few games but we still know that this team can score. The numbers don't lie, we are 6th in the league with an average of 100.5 points per game and a great FG% of 49. And yes ladies and gentlemen, this is the highest FG% in the entire league.

We are shooting 37% from behind the arc and have won 6 of the 7 games when scoring 100+ points. Which means that we still rely on our offensive weapons to win games.

I know it's a little bit early to talk about standings but just FYI we are currently 4th in the West Conference just one game behind our beloved enemies The Lakers which are at first place. The only reason that were are not 2nd is due to the fact that Houston and Utah are division leaders.

Defensive Stats

Obviously Kerr's and Porter's main concern was the defense. We have seen encouraging signs that the players are indeed committed to actually play it but the truth is that there is still a lot of work to do in this area. But then again, none of us expected this team to become a defensive juggernaut out of nowhere. Here are our main stats:

Rebounds per game: We are currently 2nd in the league allowing our opponents to grab 38 per game and 5th with a +2.60 differential. On the flip side, the combination of the Suns pace, the low FGA and the high FG% account for 29th in offensive rebounding.

It's no secret that the addition of Shaq has helped us improve in this area and let's not forget the other "bigs" like Robin Lopez and Louis Amundson and even Matt Barnes have contributed this season in this specific and important area. Overall, team rebounding has been a bright spot for the Suns.

We are averaging 4.7 BPG (21st in the league) and 6.5 SPG which is mediocre at best but it gets worse when you find out that other teams average 8.3 steals against us (collectively), which leads me to...

The Turnover Nightmare

 My high school coach used to tell me: "There's nothing worse than a turnover in this game, I don't mind you taking a contested or ugly shot at the rim, throwing up a brick or whatever. At least you tried to get the ball through the hoop. Don't let the other team get more chances to score than the ones they already have" 

He also used to tell me that turnovers were caused by different reasons but mainly lack of concentration, not knowing your fellow players on the court, indecision due to not knowing the offensive system and nervousness. We can scratch the last one since we are talking about NBA pros. Not that they don't feel nervous in a game but at this stage they should be able to control it so it doesn't affect their game.

So that leaves us with the first three which IMHO are the main reasons the Suns have problems with turnovers. This should get better with time, the more they play and start to practice and get acquainted  to execute the offensive plan, the amount of turnovers will go down.

Let's keep an eye on that.

Things that I've liked in this 10 game stretch:

 The Zone Defense: Zone defense tends to confuse other teams, Porter has used it several times and has worked but he has to be careful against which teams he's going to use it. The zone defense takes care of one of our main defensive problems: *cough-Nash-cough* or the PG position for that matter. If the opposing team has a player or players too quick for our guards, the "poor" defensive player can get help from a teammate if he is beaten . Other benefits of the Zone defense include a less tiring defensive system so it can be used if the team is fatigued towards the end of the game,  It helps if players are in danger of fouling out, so it can take away the pressure of guarding the lanes (Centers and Forwards).

But there's a downside to everything, Zones tend to be weak on the perimeter, so they are not very effective against teams with good outside shooters. We saw this in the Hornets game but I have to be fair and say that even guarding man to man they shot the ball well. Other disadvantage is that it  becomes really hard to box out players for rebounds, therefore, it's easier for the other team to get an offensive rebound.

So it's up to Terry Porter to identify the situations where the team can take advantage of using the Zone. So far so good.

Good job resting players: So far Porter has done a good job resting our veterans. Shaq has gotten days off and has performed well after resting. Nash is averaging 32.0 minutes per game and Hill is coming of the bench. This will certainly help if the Suns make it to the playoffs. Fresh legs make a huge difference. And by the way...it's great that we actually have a bench now.

Amaré and Shaq dominating: We have seen great performances from both of them and it's no secret that both of them feel that the inside game is what will help the Suns become an elite team again. Porter feels the same way and it shows in every game where he calls plays for Shaq and Amaré at the post. Diaw has been playing great also. Let's keep that up.

Final Thoughts:

There are things that have to improve, Nash really needs to get involved in the offense. We just can't have the luxury of not having our top PG contribute, turnovers have to go down, Porter needs to get his rotations straight and the rest of the players have to get on the same page and stop thinking and complaining and just play basketball and enjoy the game. It wouldn't hurt to go small and run from time to time, there has to be a balance.

I'm optimistic and although I've been accused of having mood swings before, I still feel the same way as when I wrote Part 1 of the Season Preview Series. I'm up for the change, It's a new challenge. Let's be patient and enjoy the game, after all...7-3 is not that bad Huh?

Stay tuned for the next 10 Game Recap.

 

 

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Great stuff...but

My only quibble here is taking out too much of the Suns defensive problems on Nash. I am not saying he’s a great defender but what see time and again is him getting screened off by an opposing center and then having to trail the ball handler.

Shaq NEVER jumps out to trap the ball and slow the penetration. He always plays back giving the opposing PG an open jump shot and some of the better PG’s like Parker drive at Shaq and still finished and/or draw a foul.

Nash btw does this to opposing teams all the time and we don’t blame the other PG for being a poor defender. We credit Nash for his ball handling skills and his ability to either hit the pull up J or make the right pass (btw – teams are learning that Nash won’t attack the rim anymore and are adjusting accordingly).

I hate to even raise this issue to a world renowned international PG such as yourself. I would love to hear your perspective and school me and the finer points of point guard defensive play.

by Phoenix Stan on Nov 16, 2008 1:22 PM MST   0 recs

Sure

Thanks for the compliments first of all.

Pick and roll plays are tough to guard. There are several ways of guarding it but none of them have proven to be succesful at a 100%.

The best way to guard it is 1-1 Defense. This will require Nash (or any player defending the PnR) to be really close to the ball handler so he can squeeze by the pick. This will require the defender to be very fast and have great defensive skills and agility so he doesn’t get called for the foul. A common expression used is “belly up”. Which basically means being so close to the ball handler that your belly touches his body. I love Nash to death but we all know he doesn’t fit the profile.

Other way of defending it is Double Switching. What players do is simply switch the players that they were defending but it usually creates a mismatch of speed and height in favor of the aggresors. A good way to prevent thos mismatches is using a Zone but this requieres a lot of communication among players.

Last but not least is trapping the PG. This will require Nash and Shaq (or Amaré) to double team the PG which is a risk since great PGs will kick the ball out to an open teammate which was the main reason to set up the pick in the first place.

Porter has to figure out a way to defend it. All I’m seeing is Nash getting trapped in the pick, Shaq staying with his man and the attacking PG has different choices once Nash is left behind: Drive to the basket and Lay it in (If the Suns players each stay with their man) or Kick the ball out to the open teammate once the defense collapses. Sounds familiar?

Either way.. we are screwed.

"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"

by PanamaSun on Nov 16, 2008 1:41 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

Everyone is screwed

Thanks PS. I hear what you are saying but I think you make my case. Can you think of a team or PG that does defend the PnR well? Even CP3 gets screened off. Especially now that the league allows so little physical play on the perimeter.

In my (viewing) experience the teams that do best use 3 men. The Spurs were good at bring at trapping the ball and then bringing a week side defender into the lane to cover the roll man. This does leave a wing player open but requires the ball handler to make an extremely difficult skip pass over two trapping defenders. What would normally happen is the ball gets kicked back out the play fizzles or a forced shot is heaved up.

Now, CP3 can seem to split that trap himself and either drive or get fouled but he’s playing on another level but that’s not the point here.

What also I have seen work is if the trapping big man can jump out hard and cause the PG to pick up his dribble and then recover quickly back on to his man. We all know Shaq can’t do that and at least in the past Amare wouldn’t. These days he’s not getting tested in the same way so I am not really sure…

My point is that the Suns bigs (especially) Shaq are inherently vulnerable where as no PG in this league can really stop this play.

The good defensive PG’s I think about are either long and can contest shots from behind (btw Dragic looked good doing this against Udrih) or they pressure the ball well in the open court and are disruptive without getting beat when they belly up. Most of those guys though are smaller and have other issues. Think Earl Boykins (and probably Sean Singletary).

by Phoenix Stan on Nov 16, 2008 2:10 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

Nope, I can't

The team that has been partially succesful in trapping PGs are the Spurs. The PnR is a very difficult play to guard and if you have a big guy in your team who can really move his feet…consider yourself blessed. I would like to see Porter try some of the above listed “solutions”, maybe we might actually get to stop a PnR from time to time.

"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"

by PanamaSun on Nov 16, 2008 5:19 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

Shaq

I really think that w/ Shaq in the game the Suns are just going to have to live with him backing off and trying to deny penetration and give up the jumper.

by Phoenix Stan on Nov 16, 2008 7:20 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

Nash/Defense

Good stuff. I think I am somewhere in the middle of you both (that’s what she said).

I’m not internationally known but I did play PG and can second Panama Suns’ analysis.

Anyway, every Suns/basketball fan knows Nash isn’t the best defender but it’s not through lack of effort. It’s just that the majority of PG’s he defends are extremely athletic and quick. You can tell that Nash is trying and usually is in the right place on defense (he is phenomenal at taking charges) but just isn’t as athletic as other players.

It would help Nash if the player’s man who sets the pick would defend properly. And no one on the team (usually a big) currently defends the p&r properly. Nash usually tries to go through the pick and follow the player which, as Panama Sun stated, is probably the best thing for the defending pg to do. This means that the big will have to step out a little and prevent the pg from penetrating. This doesn’t have to be a drastic move or switch, just enough that Nash has a safety blanket and can regroup.

But, as it stands now, our ‘bigs’ are usually stagnant/frozen on the pick and roll, thus allowing the offense to either have an open shot or go right by them. If they go right by them, this requires help defense, which the Suns really aren’t good at (getting better this year, but not good).

So, to quote Panama Sun, it would seem that we are screwed as it stands now.

BUT, I do see progress. Last year, was incredibly frustrating to continue to see our bad defense not only against the p&r, but also on help defense. This year, I do see progress and let’s hope that continues.

It's Ba-Nash. It's a no brainer.

by Suns Ben on Nov 16, 2008 2:08 PM MST   0 recs

I'm not internationally known either

Just BSotS known.
lol =)

"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"

by PanamaSun on Nov 16, 2008 5:22 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

Not even that! ; )

It's Ba-Nash. It's a no brainer.

by Suns Ben on Nov 16, 2008 5:32 PM MST to parent up   0 recs

7 and 3 is good.

I like the 7 and 3 record so far. Off to a good start. I hope the next 10 is as good, or better.

by CanadianBlazerfan on Nov 16, 2008 3:55 PM MST   0 recs

Admittedly, it makes me wonder.

It seems like the majority of the time this season, Nash has been trying to go over the screen on the pick and roll. But with Shaq generally hovering around the free-throw line basket, all that does is give the Tony Parkers and Chris Pauls of the world free reign to get a head start on a drive where they either rack up fouls on the big men or kick it out for open shots. I don’t get why Steve isn’t going underneath the screens as long as the opposition is running it with Shaq’s man. Granted, there might be some additional open outside looks from that plan, but it seems like it might be a better alternative than what we’ve seen so far.

by Azreous on Nov 16, 2008 6:39 PM MST   0 recs

I like the start

Bell seems a little pissed on the floor, he loves the up and down and jacking 3’s, he is going to have to adjust.
 Nash is what he is, average to poor defender, but who else do want, oh sure Chris Paul would do. Nash is right for this team, and the Suns can win it all with him.

"Have You heard of the Boom on Mizar 5?"

by Grockcubs on Nov 16, 2008 10:08 PM MST   0 recs

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