The Trail Blazers Have Too Much Talent
The Blazers enter this season with as much hype as any team out there. Understandable given the amazing amount of talent they have been able to assemble (buy) and the great moves made by their GM (owner).
They have the deepest roster of young talent in the league yet the highest paid player (and the only one making over $10m) is...you guessed it...The Expiring Contract of Raef LaFrentz.
This makes for an exciting team of Potental NBA stars but it does not make for a winning basketball team. Not yet it doesn't.
Watching these Blazers last night I got the feeling I was seeing some kind of under 25 NBA all star team. And I don't just mean their roster.
They played like an all star team of highly individual talents but with no cohesion or clear identity. They lack the things that winning teams have including an established rotation and role players who's job is not to score the ball.
These young all stars play like they are fighting hard for minutes and need to put up big numbers to stand out among their talented peers. They are playing against each other and not with each other. The exception is back up Center Joel Przybilla who lead the team last night with 9 rebounds.
They have assembled too much talent for one roster to handle. There is not enough shots to go around and the pressure to out perform their mate puts a premium on flashy stats and not on the disciplined aspects of professional basketball that makes teams like the Spurs win with less talent.
They will win games this year and they might even make the playoff's (thanks to the decline of the Warriors) but this is a Portland team that needs more James Posey's and Paul Milsap's and less Travis Outlaw's and Ike Diogu's.
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This is a good point I think
but I also think
a) they’re still a pretty good team
b) that’s a nice problem to have and
c) the Blazers have to let this play out for a year before making any decisions.
Part of the problem for them is that b/c they’re so young they can’t be sure of who is going to be reliable and what are those players’ ceilings. The only players who have any certainty around them are Roy and Aldridge. Oden, Outlaw, Bayless, Frye, Diogu, Webster, Batum, Rodriguez, and Fernandez are all still a little vague at this point. I do honestly believe after this year, however, we’re going to see more than one player on that list playing elsewhere (Outlaw is almost certainly gone).
Also let me add: I think this is why they’re going nuts about Batum at Blazersedge. He’s exactly the kind of guy you’re talking about i.e. one who can have a big effect on the game (especially defensively: did you see him defending Parker against the Spurs or throwing down that ridiculous block on Duncan?) without needing the ball. And he can score as well if need be. But yeah, he’s the kind of guy they need with Aldridge and Roy.
Purchasing my Dragic jersey
by rosewood on Nov 2, 2008 10:39 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
True dat
I agree. They are still a good team and will win many games this year. They are a great team to follow as a fan as well. I am not down on them at all and like you say – they have a good problem to have.
But I have to say after seeing them play that they will not be as good with this roster this year as I thought they would be. I obviously didn’t spend much time thinking about it beyond just looking at the collection of names – but now after seeing them play I think they have a longer way to go then I originally thought.
The question for them is how fast they look to move some of that young talent for more veteran role players. Your idea that they be patient and see how the various players react and grow this year makes sense. We will see if Pritch agrees or goes for some big moves this season.
How about Marion on that team if they can get him for say $12-$15m?
Blogging Suns Basketball
by Phoenix Stan on Nov 2, 2008 11:09 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Marion
Not sure if Marion is what they need, though you can’t say that any team (except the Suns?) wouldn’t like to have Marion. But they just signed Webster to a 4 yr. deal and it looks like they’re feeling they may have found a steal in Batum, so SF seems a little jammed up. I mean, they’re not strong there right now, but that’s more a product of age not talent and it’s not like their prized possessions (Roy,LMA, and Oden) are getting over the hill.
PG is really where they’re in trouble. Blake can’t play defense. Rodriguez is like JWill lite, and I’m not convinced that Bayless is a PG (or really the right kind of personality for the “team” concept the Blazers are working for). But as the Rockets are aware of, free agent point guards are not always easy to find.
Of course, that may not matter if they just play Roy and Fernandez together. Either of them can play PG well enough. Actually, Roy/Fernandez/Batum/Aldridge/Oden: I don’t want to mess with that in 2/3 years.
Purchasing my Dragic jersey
by rosewood on Nov 2, 2008 12:22 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Spot on
Both you and the OP’s posts were pretty spot on IMO. Portland definitely needs some role players who can do things other than score. A David Lee type would be a good fit if NY does not extend him. This team is a sharp contrast to strong veteran teams. In Portland we have guys who are fighting for minutes, stats, and contracts…but in teams like the Suns and Celtics, the veterans are willing to come aboard and defer to others. Our talent may never reach their potential since there is only 1 ball and a limited amount of minutes to go around.
Honor Terry Porter
by Philthyanimal on Nov 2, 2008 5:42 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Blazer Fan
I appreciate the outsider perspective. We can get lost sometimes staring to hard at our own team. I think this year is all about finding that definition we lack. Oden, Roy and Aldridge are not going anywhere and it is clear that Rudy is going to make a spot for himself. Joel Pryzbilla is a role player we need and Batum is making a strong case that he is also.
I think what you will see with the Blazers, with the signing of Webster and Batum’s development that they will move Outlaw and some other combo of Blake, Sergio, and maybe even Bayless to try to get the PG they want to play with these guys over the next 5 years. (Bayless could be that guy but they might move him if the returning player is who they want.)
PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04
by tssbro on Nov 2, 2008 10:54 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
Interesting perspective
I wouldn’t concur that the Blazers already have too much talent (e.g. a James Posey or Paul Milsap would be examples of players with more talent), but the observation that this team still lacks a fixed rotation/fixed roles and features players out of position and fighting for attention seems spot on.
For starters, Joel is one of the best backup centers defensively but should not start against Shaq and Amare which he now had to do again. That already limits the offensive sets we can run, and enabled the Suns to push LaMarcus out to shoot jumpers and focus very much on Roy. So the best two players are already covered pretty well and can only take shots they shouldn’t take too often, either too far out on the perimeter or late in the shot clock and contested.
Then we are searching for the perfect small forward. Webster might be good enough since he can defend decently and hit open shots, but he is injured now. So coach first wanted to go with Batum since he already seems to be the best defender besides Roy and can contribute without taking many shots. Then he had an epiphany and made Outlaw the starter, which most people agree isn’t perfect since he doesn’t get the shots he needs/wants in the first unit and tends to become tentative next to Roy and Aldridge. And he just can’t defend on the perimeter, period. So yesterday you had a pretty odd combo out there in the first unit, which hopefully will look very differently come January.
We also don’t have a star point guard a la Steve Nash or Tony Parker to both run the show and be a major offensive threat (imagine for a second the Blazers had taken Paul or Williams in 2005 over Webster and still somehow managed to acquire at least two out of Oden, Roy, Aldridge. You can relax now, they didn’t). Even who is supposed to be the starter or game closer on that position is still up for discussion. Is it Bayless, Blake, or even Roy alongside Rudy?
The Blazers will need this year to figure it out and gain experience playing together, but then with one or two good additions they should become more and more dangerous every year similar to the Hornets or Jazz (or Phoenix for that matter).
—-
A note on Phoenix: Your starters obviously can still get it done against anyone on a good day. But the roster seems thin with just 13 players (luxury tax reasons?), and the bench got out-scored 35-14 yesterday. That’s a bit too little against more experienced teams when only Diaw contributes. Whatever happened to Barbosa? And why is Lopez not playing over guys like Amundson?
by Norsktroll on Nov 2, 2008 11:02 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
Suns Bench
LB had a down night last night for sure. He’s like that. He also scored like 17 against the Spurs in the opener and the Suns bench had 42 so let’s not jump to too many conclusions there. The bench though is still a work in progress for sure and I have more to say on that later (pictures and everything).
Lopez is rookie that is going to be very inconsistent this year. I don’t except ton’s from him but he has and will also show some flashes of his potential. Against the Blazers he wasn’t the right matchup. You guys were small w/ Pryzbo out so Lopez wasn’t the right guy for that game. Against a bigger, bangier team with more inside presence Lopez will play.
Btw – be sure to check out my answer to your question about the Suns Gorilla here
Blogging Suns Basketball
by Phoenix Stan on Nov 2, 2008 11:15 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Wrong link
Sorry – wrong link to the Gorilla history
The Gorilla is the first NBA team mascot anywhere.
In the winter of 1980, the Phoenix Suns Gorilla arrived on the scene in the form of an singing telegram messenger. History has it that the hairy singer began dancing out onto the court during a break in the action. He was invited back and has "hung" around ever since.
The Gorilla is an original member of the Mascot HOF.
Blogging Suns Basketball
by Phoenix Stan on Nov 2, 2008 11:18 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I saw the link. Thanks, funny story.
I knew it’s a pretty old mascot. It just didn’t seem to symbolize “Suns” or “Phoenix” the way most mascots represent their teams or monikers.
by Norsktroll on Nov 2, 2008 12:06 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
The Blazers have not had much experience playing with each other (and it really shows)
They have 3 guys who are new to the NBA (Fernandez, Batum, Bayless), a guy who’s new to Nate’s system (Diogu), and 5 guys who were out for chunks of training camp/preseason (Roy, Blake, Frye, Oden, Webster). Also, Nate held out Roy, Aldridge, and Oden for a couple of preseason games — a decision that I think he regrets.
So yeah, they’re not playing team ball yet. Roles are still being defined, and rotations will be a problem until Greg and Martell get back.
In years past Nate has talked about needing a veteran role player, but I’m not hearing it from him lately. Maybe Pritchard’s got some plans up his sleave . . .
by Corvid on Nov 2, 2008 12:06 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
This is game 3 of the season and the Blazers have 4 rookies on the roster, plus two newcomers...
……………………………. Not to mention they remain the second youngest team in the league (Golden State the only one younger),.
The lack of cohesion is FAR more likely to be due to a lack of actually playing together in game situations than due to self-centered stat-padding, of which there is to date no evidence.
I will also posit that the coach is partially to blame for putting up some sketchy combinations of players…
timbo
Corvallis, OR
FREE SERGIO -- Trade Him or Cut Him NOW!!!
by timbo on Nov 2, 2008 12:55 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Goodness no kidding RE Nate
"Feminism encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcreaft, destroy capitalism, and become lesbians. [speech at GOP Presidential Convention 1992] Rev. Pat Robertson
by BlazerFan1 on Nov 2, 2008 8:51 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
...
Good game guys. The sooner they establish some confidence the better they will be down the stretch. Batum’s calm & cool attitude will not only help him, but all our rookies in the long run. Personally I think Sergio needs more minuets. He has continued to improve & he looked to be by far our best PG on the floor last night.
Should be fun to watch this team grow :)
"I just know that I can't get big, I can't eat whatever I want to. I have to eat healthy, I have to stay right, I have to stay involved and ... I have to be here at practice because you know what? I can play pretty quick."
by TheGreatDane17 on Nov 2, 2008 1:33 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Well
The team we saw out there last night clearly deserved this revue but I dont think overabundance of talent is the problem. The real issue is putting who where and when. That is difficult to discern especially when two starter are out with injuries and 4 players, 3 on the bench, are rookies.
Although Nate deserves a huge amount of blame for the way things have played out these first 3 games, I think the real issue is that the players have not played enough together. Last year, it took a dramatic rough patch at the beginning of the season to start off this great chemistry that the team is now known for. With as many new players and new roles of old players that chemistry will have to be developed once again.
The offense that Nate uses is extremely simplistic. It essentially doesnt force LaMarcus to get inside the paint and use that incredible wingspan to get a couple easy buckets, rather keeps him in his confort but not always effective range around 18 feet. It also has our superstar and 3 time knee surgery recipient Brandon Roy driving into the lane and passing back out for the 3 if he cant get a shot. This is not good when Martell is out and Joel isn’t an inside force at about 4 pts per game. I have been arguing my fingers numb the havok Travis Outlaw has upon our starting unit because he refuses to move off the ball and almost every time he gets the ball he dribble twice jumps off balance with a hand in his face to the right and shoots from 15 ft. This is an extremely low % shot and he does it all the time.
Travis plays terrible defense and now that we have Rudy, I am calling for a trade something like
RLEC Travis Blake and maybe Sergio or Shavlik Randolph for a more efficient point guard which will add scoring to the starting squad and let Brandon rome w/o requiring him to run the offense as he often does.
With that being said, at least we dont have Shaq ruining our cap space and physically deteriorating before our very eyes . :)
Sophia
PS i could not post w/o a crap talk . You guys owned us, but we gonna break this lose streak to the suns soon!
"Feminism encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcreaft, destroy capitalism, and become lesbians. [speech at GOP Presidential Convention 1992] Rev. Pat Robertson
by BlazerFan1 on Nov 2, 2008 9:05 PM MST reply actions 0 recs

















