Gut Check: Care to Update Your Forecast?
by ZonaFlash on Apr 25, 2008 4:48 AM MDT
in Commentary
3 comments
Overall, it looks like the TrueHoop statgeeks with their hard information are doing better at guessing this series than the ESPN commentators with their soft information.
I use the terms "hard" and "soft" in the technical sense. Hard information is easily transmitted, communicated and verified, like box scores. Soft information is not and includes details about player motivation, coaching foibles and tendencies. One caveat is that statgeeks often evaluate their hard information through a soft lens.
I made my guess purely on the constraints that [1] the Suns must win and [2] Suns fans, by the very definition of being fans, are too optimistic. Suns in 7 was the only option.
Jalen Rose, Kevin Pelton, Henry Abbott's Mom and I picked the Suns in 7, and I am sticking by it. And just so you know - Henry's Mom lost the 2007 statgeek smackdown last year... but Kevin Pelton almost won - he came in a close second.
What about you?
A look at how the "experts" picked after the jump:
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I'm counting about 5 Spurs fans
who can’t read instructions. =)
If you’re Suns fan and you think the Suns will Set in 6, fess up! I want to hear about it.
by ZonaFlash on Apr 25, 2008 7:33 AM MDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm been optimist
Suns in 7!!!!
Damn I just hope this team WAKES UP!
Lb needs to get it going, I can live without Diaw’s production but not LB. He’s too good of a shooter.
Raja needs to start hitting threes, Coach D should draw more plays for him also, the Spurs are all over him, if he get’s it going early we can “bust them”. =S
And how about “running” just a little bit more!!!
"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"
by PanamaSun on Apr 25, 2008 7:45 AM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
I now count 15 Spurs fans
that can’t follow directions.
The Hype King
by ZonaFlash on Apr 25, 2008 7:10 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
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