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Preview: Suns vs Nuggets

The "easy streak" is over and it's time to get down to business and find out if this Suns team deserves to make the playoffs.

The Nuggets as we all know are much improved this season with a new found interest in playing defense and more importantly a solid, experienced point guard that is more interested in running the offense then scoring the ball.

The Nuggets are big, athletic and deep and will make the Suns earn a win and as Coach Gentry said via twitter, it all starts with rounding at the power forward position. Matt Barnes, he's talking about you.

 

Pick Axe and Roll Preview

Star-divide

Key match-ups

Jason Richardson has been on fire of late but he will have his hands full with the highly talented and ever mercurial JR Smith. Smith scored 40 on the Wizards in their last game which isn't all the meaningful given JRich score 35 on 5 fewer shots.

What should scare you about JR is that seems to always play well against the Suns and is averaging 17 per game against us which is 6ppg over his career average.

Smith is a well known long range bomber and can finish with the best of them but it his ability to drive and create that worries me most. JRich is going to have to work hard to fight through screens and keep Smith in front of him and on the other end keep him occupied by continuing to be aggressive.

Shaq vs Nene

Nene is a very talented center with a combination of size, strength and skill. While he can't match up on Shaq 1:1 in the post, he will not be a Rue Paul pushover either.  The bigger concern is Shaq having to defend Nene. He can face up on Shaq and attack the rim. He has the ability to give Shaq fits but fortunately, the Nuggets don't seem to use him much in this way. If they do go to Nene offensively he could easily end up putting Shaq on the bench with foul trouble.

Behind Nene, The Birdman Andersen is playing well in his comeback season. He is long and active and will be a very tough match for Amundson.

Hill vs Melo

This one should go well for us. Grant is a very able defender who should be able to keep Melo in check. Best case, Anthony gets frustrated and scores 27 points on 23 attempts. I am looking forward to seeing Dudley on Melo as well. Jared is a great perimeter defender with active hands and high energy who will battle with Anthony and could cause him problems.

Behind Melo, Yahoo! Sports reports: Kleiza really has been in a slump lately. He’s shot just 7-of-28 the past four games while averaging 4.5 points.

Barnes vs Martin

As Gentry alluded to, this match-up on the glass will be important. Fortunately for us, Martin has been struggling with back problems and seems to just be getting back into game shape after missing 5 games earlier in the month. He did play limited minutes last week against the Nets, Grizz and Wizards.

He's got a couple of inches on Matt but not too much more in the way of strength and quickness. Both average right around 5 or 6 rebounds per game so on paper this is one that Matt should be able to handle. The key is to play smart and tough and not to take too many of those three's unless they start falling early.

Bench

Off the bench the Nuggets run with the active and athletic Renaldo Balkman, the talented but slumping Leinus Kleiza and the long wing span of the Bird Man Andersen. All three are solid front court players.

Where the Nuggets are weakest is in back court depth with Anthony Carter and Dayntay Jones. Both are good defensive guards but neither scare you too much in the way of a Lou Williams or Von Wafer (or Leandro Barbosa).

I am guessing the 20 minutes we saw from Swift the other night was to get him more prepared for his game. Stromile might be called on to have a big contribution off the bench to help in the paint with the the Nuggets size. Tucker probably won't play a big role in this one perhaps getting a few minutes in the second quarter. Gentry can go with Hill at the shooting guard to help on Smith if he gets hot and JRich can easily play 40 minutes in a game like this.

Dragic will hopefully continue his improved play. He won't have a tough cover and should look to push the ball and play within himself.

Prediction

This should be a great game and as important of a contest since the Mavs loss. Let's hope this one turns out better and with the way the Suns played during the "easy streak", I am predicting they will.

Suns 112 - 106

 

 

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Nice Preview

Makes sense overall. well done.

" I'm going to root for the Suns when they are winning or losing, but when losing I will point and blame the failing economy on the Referees."- Me.

by antiw0rm on Mar 23, 2009 12:20 PM MST reply actions  

Yay!

Stan has the Suns winning this one! I’m with you buddy. This is going to be one tough game for the good guys. The Nuggets are playing really well and JR smith is scary against us. Let’s keep it up Suns!! You can win this one!

Go Suns!

"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"

by PanamaSun on Mar 23, 2009 12:43 PM MST reply actions  

Yes, I am an optomist again

here’s why:

When the Suns won those 3 games after the all-star break I thought that type of run and gun wasn’t sustainable. Too quick shooting. Not taking advantage of Shaq

During the 6 game losing streak Nash was too aggressive, shooting too much and not getting Shaq the ball enough to impact the offense. If he’s on the floor he needs to be used in the half court

During the last 4 games the balance has been good. Running but not too much. That gives me hope

by Seth Pollack on Mar 23, 2009 1:12 PM MST up reply actions  

like somebody said

The Mavs suck is worse than our suck!!! :D
We’ll make it yet……

Go Suns

Whats up doc?

by RottPhiler on Mar 23, 2009 1:17 PM MST reply actions  

+1

Our scoring margin is one whole point better than the Mavs’. Actually, it’s even better than that of the 41-29 Hawks.

Marc Stein just pointed out today that the Mavs are 16-3 in games decided by 5 points or less… which means that they have been darn lucky this season. For comparison, we are 9-9 in games decided by 5 points or less.

That’s a lot of emprical evidence to prove that we are a better team (AND generally performed better) this season. Unfortunately, playoffs eligability is judged by wins, which is not the best indicator of quality.

by gadogry on Mar 23, 2009 2:38 PM MST up reply actions  

Interesting Stats

but Dallas’ record could indicate that they are able to close out games better than us. I’m just saying…but I do hope it means what you are suggesting.

"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"

by PanamaSun on Mar 23, 2009 2:53 PM MST up reply actions  

I think...

“being able to close out games” is a myth. Take that indiana game the other night. Jason Terry made 2 shots in the final minute, and Dirk made a shot with 1 sec left. Do you think they won that game because they are “good” (i.e. had the ability to CHOOSE to play better when it mattered), or because they were lucky?

by gadogry on Mar 23, 2009 6:10 PM MST up reply actions  

Hell yes

Hitting clutch shots matters….the pressure is on and lots of guy don’t want the ball in that situation. The ability to take and make these kind of shots is the difference between good and great players

by Seth Pollack on Mar 23, 2009 6:11 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh I begin to appreciate

the East’s mid-rung teams’ feelings come playoff time…… With a losing record, they still manage to squeak through to the playoffs

Whats up doc?

by RottPhiler on Mar 23, 2009 1:18 PM MST reply actions  

Charlotte

will probably make the playoffs with 37 wins.

April 29, 2008 Total Eclipse of the Sun. Is the sky falling?

by Hawk42 on Mar 23, 2009 1:55 PM MST up reply actions  

+1

If we were in the East, we’d be the 5th seed playing Atlanta, and everyone is gonna talk about us as a dark horse contender.

In the West, we are on the path to become this year’s Warriors.

by gadogry on Mar 23, 2009 2:44 PM MST up reply actions  

one game at a time

the mavs got a real tough sech playing New orleans twice,utah and us in the last 10 games.

by drey34 on Mar 23, 2009 4:33 PM MST reply actions  

And their next game is vs the Warriors

And they still can’t beat the Warriors to save their lives!

… at least I hope so :)

by gadogry on Mar 23, 2009 6:11 PM MST up reply actions  

Maybe we can loan out

JRich and Barnes to the Warriors for that game

April 29, 2008 Total Eclipse of the Sun. Is the sky falling?

by Hawk42 on Mar 23, 2009 8:36 PM MST up reply actions  

FIGHT

Thats all they can do until they are mathematically out of the playoffs, thats all us fans ask for!

by mteo78 on Mar 23, 2009 5:50 PM MST reply actions  

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