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Welcome to NBA free agency

With the NBA free agency about to kick off on July 1st, we can expect a lot of activity over the next few days as players opt out and teams exercise their options. Mostly though, we will see a lot of movement of some big name players and perhaps even more impactful will be which young up-and-comer signs where. There is rightly a lot of discussion about next year's free agent period dubbed "The Summer of LeBron" but don't go to sleep on who's available now.

Before we get into specific players and the Suns salary situation, lets first have a quick primer on some free agency basics.

Star-divide

 

Free agency period, salary cap, luxury tax and what not

On July 1st free agents become "free" and teams are allowed to begin negotiations with those players. July 1st in effect marks the official end to the previous season from a salary calculation standpoint and the rosters are in essence reset. Like a pumpkin at midnight, on July 1st those valuable "expiring contracts" official expire.

But before teams can actually spend money on new players the league has a moratorium on signings and conducts an audit to establishe the salary cap for the coming season. The salary cap is mandated by the Collective Bargaining Agreement between the teams and players and is designed to limit how much teams can spend. The salary cap is set at 51% of the total basketball related revenue from the NBA.

The audit that will be conducted over the next few days determines what the salary cap will be for the coming year. The cap is based on overall league revenues. If the league makes less money that translates to a lower salary cap and less money for players. A pretty smart system.

The salary cap determines how much money teams can pay free agents. If a team has $10m under the cap it can spend up to $10m to sign a free agent.

There are exceptions to the salary cap which allow teams to exceed the limit. Most of these exceptions like "Bird Rights" allow teams to exceed the cap to resign it's own free agents. The system is designed to encourage players to remain with the same team and limit player movement.

The other well known exception is the "Mid-level Exception" which allows a team to sign one or more players up to an amount equal to the average league salary. The MLE is expected to be about $5.6m this summer.

Between the MLE (which can be used on one player each year) and the various other exceptions you can see that teams quickly exceed the salary cap making it a so-called "soft cap". The Suns for example were $17m over the salary cap last season.

The other big impact of the salary cap is on trades. If two teams want to make a trade and both are over the salary cap then the salaries have to match salaries within 125%. If however, a team is under the salary cap it can use its cap space to receive the incoming player's salary and not have to send back and equivalent salary amount. This is a very important factor in trades and is why teams with cap space have a lot of leverage when it comes to making trades with teams wanting to cut payroll.

On July 8th, when the audit is complete and the salary cap is officially set teams can official begin signing free agents and can continue to sign them throughout the season.

The Luxury Tax is the next limit teams work within. The lux tax is established at essentially 61% of all basketball related income. Last season it was $71m and like the salary cap had grown about $3m every year since the 2005 CBA went into effect. This season both the salary cap and luxury tax are expected to stay about the same or perhaps decline as a result of the economy.

The luxury tax is calculated based on the total payroll a team has at the end of the season. This is important as a team that is over the tax and wanting to get under it has until the February trade deadline to shed payroll. The problem at that point is the only way to get under the tax for the current season is to make a deal with a team that has salary cap space.

When the Suns traded Kurt Thomas to the Seattle Supersonics to save $16m, Kerr had to "pay" the Sonic two first round picks to compensate the Sonics for using their cap space. If the Suns had held on to Thomas and traded him at the deadline as the Sonic did, they would not have saved the $16m as they would have had to receive contracts back.  Again, this shows why teams that are under the cap have a lot of leverage and flexibility when it comes to making deals.

The luxury tax is paid dollar for dollar for any salary over the tax line meaning a team that is $4m over the tax line will pay $4m in tax. The tax gets distributed to non-tax paying teams making the process even more painful.

For more detailed CBA information see the Salary Cap FAQ

Where are the Suns now?

On July 1st the Suns will have 12 players under contract totaling about $73m in salary. That assumes they waive Pavlovic and are on the hook for only the $1.5m guaranteed portion of his full $4.5m contract. When you add in a $2m place holder for Grant Hill who is the Suns highest priority free agent and $800k for Taylor Griffin you are at 14 players at $76m which is projected to be about $4m over the tax line.

If the Suns hadn't made the trade with Cleveland they would be at $81m including Hill and Clark and assuming they wouldn't sign Griffin or any other players.

Ben Wallace has said that he's considering retirement. If he were to accept a buy out of $10m that would save the Suns $8m and put them in a sound financial position. If he were to be traded to the Hornets for Chandler's $12m salary the team would still save about $4m. As we said when the deal went down, Wallace's intentions are important to what the Suns do over the next few weeks. If he decides he wants to play next season the Suns have no option but to pay him the full $14m. Chances are good though that we will take a buy out and either retire or sign somewhere else for much less.

If the Suns don't do anything else other then sign Clark to the rookie scale and Griffin to a minimum contract and then lock up Grant Hill for about $2m then they will be paying $4m in tax. They've said they are fine with this.

What the Suns don't have (unlike numerous teams) is the room under either salary cap or the luxury tax to sign any of the free agents available. Using the MLE would cost the team over $10m in salary and tax and they are not going to do that.

Who's got money to spend?

Using $65m as the line between teams that can spend the MLE without going to far over the luxury tax, there are 14 teams that can be considered buyers in the upcoming free agency spending period. That doesn't mean all of those teams will use the MLE but they reasonably could. Those teams in order of highest payroll to lowest are:

Bulls, Rockets, Clippers, Warriors, Nets, 76ers, Trailblazers, Kings Timberwolves, Raptors, Hawks, Thunder, Pistons and Grizzlies. Those last three teams are all about $17m to $21m under the salary cap making them major players in this market.

That's not to say certain teams with deep pocketed owners won't go even further over the luxury tax to sign certain players. The Knicks who are already about $4m over the tax line are reportedly interested in signing Jason Kidd and the Lakers who are $5m over are going to have to decide how much more to spend on Odom and/or Ariza. The Mavericks with Cuban's checkbook are right at the luxury tax line and have the very movable contract of Jerry Stackhouse which should make them a player as well.

Who's available?

There are some big names out there to be had by those teams with money to spend. There are quite a few solid power forwards available and a couple of very good point guards. There are also some very interesting big names like Shawn Marion, Rasheed Wallace, Allen Iverson and Stephon Marbury. I can't wait to find out where those guys end up.

Stay tuned, the next few weeks are going to be interesting.

Here's a quick look at some of the bigger names. For the full list click here:

Centers

Power Forwards

Small Forwards

Shooting Guards

Point Guards

0 recs  |  Comment 15 comments |

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Good work, Stan

I’m impressed to say the least -
Basically, it seems like the Suns can’t sign anyone – good, at least. if we’re supposed to be interested in Frye, Mcdyess, and Wilcox, that seems like one person we can’t afford, and two people who suck.
How much money can the Birdman be worth?

by UASun on Jun 30, 2009 10:44 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Anderson played very well for the Nuggets.

Wouldn’t be surprised if he got a pretty hefty contract from them, maybe somewhere in the 4-5 mil range.

by Pyromnc on Jun 30, 2009 10:59 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

FYI

The MLE can be split and given to multiple players. So every year teams have the ability to use this exception. There’s also the bi-annual exception.

More than likely these exceptions will be used less and less as teams try to cut back on spending, but ‘contending’ teams use these exceptions to make additions that they deem worthy for a title push.

by kingj41 on Jun 30, 2009 11:10 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

The Suns haven’t been able to sign an interesting free agent in a long time. However, they do seem to have a knack for finding bargains at the vet’s minimum.

by jburning on Jun 30, 2009 11:12 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

That is not as bad as it sounds

Nash was the last big signing. The year after that, we didn’t really need a big free agent, and when Amare’s contract kicked in, we didn’t have any money. Not to mention that Sarver hadn’t even paid the full purchace price yet. It is not as if we had a pile of money and couldn’t get anyone to come here. If we had 15 mil right now to get someone to come play with Nash, we would certainly get someone nice.

Name me one big free agent since Nash we have tried to get and could not get (sorry, John Salmons doesn’t count).

April 29, 2008 Total Eclipse of the Sun. Is the sky falling?

by Hawk42 on Jun 30, 2009 12:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think those days are over

Besides, if we are just treading water, or in full-on rebuilding mode, seems better to give the minutes to develop younger talent.

The Suns are No Team for Old Men

Who are these guys again?

by ZonaFlash on Jun 30, 2009 12:24 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

What about Grant Hill?

He was a free agent and Matt Barnes too

by Phoenix Stan on Jun 30, 2009 2:52 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

my wish list of dudes i think we can afford(tiny part of MLE or vet min)

 Cs:
Zaza Pachulia
Rasho Nesterovic
Johan Petro

PF:
Glen Davis
Leon Powe
Chris Wilcox
Channing Frye
Joe Smith
Walter Herrmann
James Singleton

SF:
Jamario Moon
Matt Barnes
Grant Hill
Steve Novak
Gerald Green

SG:
Dahntay Jones
Von Wafer
Wally Szczerbiak
Jarrett Jack
Anthony Parker

slim pickings…

Steve Nash, the league's MVP, is a longhaired Canadian who spoke out against the war in Iraq and reads The Communist Manifesto. Quentin Richardson declared after a game-winning shot that it "was like Hamlet. It was a suspense thriller, and I killed them at the end." Amare Stoudemire, when asked to comment on a 22-point third quarter against the Kings, said, "I've got a tendency to jump over some guys' heads and throw it down."

by rsavaj on Jun 30, 2009 12:51 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Hill, Smith, Frye and Wafer

Out of that group are reasonable. Some of them, Like Jack, Powe, Davis and Pachulia are borderline starters for their teams, and they will definitely sign for more than we can afford. I think everyone else listed . . sucks.

by UASun on Jun 30, 2009 1:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hill for sure should come back.

Old or not he’s still a great all around player you can’t deny that. And that fact that he played all 82 games gives me more faith. As for the other free agents, this was an excerpt from a post on suns.com

Some big men that may be of interest to Phoenix are Rasheed Wallace, Joe Smith, Antonio McDyess and former Arizona product, Channing Frye. All of them are unrestricted free agents beginning July 1.

Don’t know what you guys think about them but talent wise that isn’t bad. Just not the greatest of characters….well…just Rasheed

by Batmanthesunsfan on Jun 30, 2009 6:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The best option

is try to trade JRich for 1 or 2 2010 first pick and so you have enough money to get a free agent this summer.

by matrix7 on Jun 30, 2009 1:47 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree

the Suns aren’t signing anyone other then Hill unless they make another trade and clear some salary.

by Phoenix Stan on Jun 30, 2009 2:52 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Would anyone make this deal for the first round picks? The only teams that would want him are not winners, and might not want to give up a high lottery pick.

"If you're a Yankee fan, or if you're not a Yankee fan - you have to admit, we're winners." - #21

"Once the Hack-a-Shaq works once, you know I’m going to see it again. The only thing worse for basketball than that defense is the Lack-a-Shaq offense, where I have to go to the bench because of foul trouble. There is no fun in that." - The Big Aristotle

"Pressure is something you feel when you don't know what the hell you're doing." - Peyton

by J-Gao on Jun 30, 2009 6:13 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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