Daily Poll: Playoff Seeding
15 games and about 30 days left in the season. That's kind of amazing to consider. It feels like yesterday we were having media day and preseason season game. It's gone fast but the end is near.
Fortunately, this year the Suns season won't be ending on April 15th. Barring a disaster of epic proportions - we are talking 2012 end of the world proportions - the Suns will play at least four post season games.
The standings as of today are:
Obviously, the Suns want to win the games they play and try and get the fourth seed and home court advantage but barring that I think the 6th seed is a better option. That way the Suns don't play the Lakers until the Western Conference Finals.
In the first round the most likely opponents are the Mavs, Nuggets, Jazz or Thunder.
The Spurs btw, have 5 more sets of back to backs and check out their opponents on the 2nd night: @ Magic, @ Thunder, @ Nets, @ Suns, and @ Denver. Without Tony Parker and with that schedule they will lucky to hold on to the 8th seed.
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I’d rather take the Thunder in the first round than the Nuggets. The Thunder have no playoff experience. They’re just glad to be there. The Nuggets think they can win a Championship. I’d wait to face them in the semis.
I think at best we can get the 4rth seed. If we can do that and than have the Thunder take the 5th seed that would be the best match-up for us. That would require the Jazz to lose some though.
When it comes down to it this is what I think will happen.
1st round
1. LA W
8. Portland L
4. Phoenix W
5. Thunder L
3. Dallas W
6. Utah L
2. Denver W
7. SA L
As for Dallas vrs Denver. Last year Denver won 4-1, but this year Dallas has upgraded. I think Dallas would win it this time and would play the Lakers in the WCF.
Phoenix vrs LA. We’d have to play our BEST basketball in order to beat these guys. Its always possible and upsets do happen, but I’m not going to count on it. I think we would take the Lakers to 6 games at the least and maybe 7. We would give them a tough fight.
Experience matters, yes...but the Nuggets haven't had playoff success until last year.
And I think we match up better with the Nuggets. The Thunder are going to be hungry to prove to the world what they can do. The Nuggets are streaking lately, but in a quiet way.
And the Thunder also seem to have our number, though they’re also a kind of streaky team.
It’ll be interesting, to say the least.
Bright Side of the Sun, for all things Phoenix Suns. Twitter: @iamtrevorpaxton
by Trevor Paxton on Mar 15, 2010 10:07 PM MDT up reply actions
We do match up well with the Nuggets, but this is the playoffs. No experience is big and the Thunder don’t have any. They will be glad just to be in the playoffs where as the Nuggets think they can win a title and will put up a better fight. Although, Durant will kill us we could beat the Thunder in 5-6 games. It would take us 6-7 games to knock out the Nuggets.
I think regardless of who we play we have to aim for the 4rth seed and try and get the home-court for the 1st round. In fact this is the teams goal as Gentry said. Its a realistic goal and its the highest we can get. We should just focus on that and than we will see who we have to play in the 1st round.
The good news is that we can compete with all of those 7 teams. The bad news is that I only feel comfortable playing the Blazers and the Thunder in the 1st round.
Keep in mind
That the Thunder are almost as good of a road team as they are a home team (19-13 compared to 21-11, respectively).
Also, out of the current playoff teams, we have the worst winning percentage while on the road (.485). Coming in second are the Spurs, who sit right at .500.
Bright Side of the Sun, for all things Phoenix Suns. Twitter: @iamtrevorpaxton
by Trevor Paxton on Mar 16, 2010 1:21 AM MDT up reply actions
I'm not comfortable playing the Blazers
The match up really well against us
"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"
I don't agree...I think we have been unlucky more than anything concerning the Blazers..
However, the team we match up best against is Denver…That’s who I want…
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
Let's get the Nuggets a 3 seed
And us a 6 seed. That leaves us out of having to deal with the Lakers until the WCF at the earliest, and we get a team we match up well with.
Bright Side of the Sun, for all things Phoenix Suns. Twitter: @iamtrevorpaxton
by Trevor Paxton on Mar 16, 2010 12:45 PM MDT up reply actions
Hungry or Lazy....They are deep and talented and a load for virtually alll teams...
They are a problem for whoever they play…If they get focused, no one can stop them…If we catch them sluggish and we play the way the Suns can, we can take them down…Personally, I hope they are there usual apathetic selves and meet up with the Dallas buzz-saw before we get them…
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
That could work...
I’d rather play the Thunder in the 1st round for the obvious reasons. But would rather hold the Lakers off until the WCF. That said, I’d also rather host a home playoff series, which means we need to get to #4. I’d take that even if it means playing the Lakers in the 2nd round. We’d have some momentum and the comforts of home for 2-3 games. We’ll need that to go in and BEAT LA.
Other than that, there’s no free lunch anywhere here. We’re going to have to play good ball to beat any of these teams. It would be good to host a series at home, regardless of who we play in the next round. But if we can’t do that, then I agree that we match up well against Denver. But then we’re still going to have to go on the road and beat the Mavs, unless the Spurs pull a surprise. Then we get another shot at finally beatin’ these guys down.
I don’t feel comfortable with the Suns playing any of the top three teams, and Utah doesn’t do very well in the playoffs so I’d like to see the Suns play them. The Suns have played well until the fourth quarter against the Jazz this year, and it would be great if the Suns could play the Thunder in the first round with home court, but that takes Utah losing a good deal of games coming up, and I don’t see that happening. I would like to see Suns Jazz, and then if PHX can win I think seeing the Lakers in the second round would be best because of age. Reality is there is no easy playoff match up for the Suns, or any other team.
this may seem like a sucker move on my part, but I am for any scenario where the Nuggets or Mavs meet and defeat LA for us
I’m just really not that scared of any other West team except LA (as naive as that sounds)…I think would could take any of the other 6 teams…I’m not saying it would be easy, but the Suns can match up with those other guys not named the Lakers…and hell if we are clickin and they are trickin (Kobe)…we can beat those guy to….I hope
That would take the Nuggets or Mavs getting the 4th seed
And that just ain’t gonna happen.
Bright Side of the Sun, for all things Phoenix Suns. Twitter: @iamtrevorpaxton
by Trevor Paxton on Mar 16, 2010 1:18 AM MDT up reply actions
What are you saying here, Seth?
The Spurs btw, have 5 more sets of back to backs and check out their opponents on the 2nd night: @ Magic, @ Thunder, @ Nets, @ Suns, and @ Denver. Without Tony Parker and with that schedule they will lucky to hold on to the 8th seed.
What a screw job. David Stern obviously has it out for the Spurs. Smh.
Twitter: @MikeLisboa
by Mike Lisboa on Mar 16, 2010 12:13 AM MDT reply actions 1 recs
Jazz..
i know weve had bad losses against the Jazz but i feel the Suns can take them with a little emphasis on concentration in the last quarter and a half. Also the last game we lost was a back to back and 4th game in 5 nights right? Anyway we’ll get a better gauge on Friday.
Also, we might have won against the Thunder but their young guns make me nervous with their speed… what with our team sporting a couple of 50 year olds in Nash and Hill!
I also think the Suns could take them...
I just would prefer playing the Nuggets…
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
None of those 7 teams are a cakewalk
I seriously must warn against looking down on the Blazers. They may be filled with injuries but they’ve got solid players who’ve managed to play this well even without some of their better big men. Plus, the Camby trade beefed up their lineup so they’re still darn tough.
As for my pick, I chose the Denver Nuggets as the best team for the Suns to play against. Obviously the Suns have great matchups against the Nuggets. The Suns have been 2-1 so far against the Nuggets and their only loss was due to a questionable non-call from a referee on a foul on Steve’s layup attempt. Hill and Dudley manage to contain Carmelo really well and Nash and Billups can’t guard each other so they pretty much cancel each other out with their offensive production. The Suns have clearly one of the best benches in the NBA so they manage to bother the Nuggets when George Karl has to go to his bench. This is one of the better opponents for the Suns.
Two teams that I’d consider having the Suns face in the first round out of pure rivalry and spite are either the Mavericks or the Spurs. The Spurs have always been a thorn in the Suns’ side ever since the turn of the millenium. Knocking them out of the first round would be the sweetest revenge I can think of. The Mavericks have pretty much been a rival ever since we signed Steve Nash and they provide great competition. They knocked us out of the postseason in 2005-2006 when the Mavs ended up making it to the NBA finals. The Suns of 06 with a depleted roster was more than capable of beating the 06 Miami Heat.
Either way, I expect to see the Suns make it out of the first round and tackle the Lakers in either the 2nd round or in the Western Finals.
exactly
I don’t really care at this point who we face in the 1st round…you could make the case for any of the match-ups working and not working
Blogging Suns Basketball . twitter: @sethpo
by Seth Pollack on Mar 16, 2010 10:14 AM MDT up reply actions
Lakers
I actually would like the Lakers in round one. Why? Because I figure that any trip to the Finals must go through the Lakers. Let’s get it over with in the first round, before the Lakers can have two rounds to get fired up. Also, it would certainly be easier for the Suns to take any team by surprise in the first round.
But
there’s a chance that it could go wrong… and it’s going to be tough getting eliminated in teh first round. =(
I want to see Suns basketball as much as possible.
"Basketball doesn't build character. It reveals it"
I do not like the Lakers in the first round either...
Even though Robin helps us out in dealing with them…There front line is just too long, too big and too mobile up front…Having an oak tree of a small foprawrd that can shift over to 4 doen’t help us out either. We also still have a problem of not having a wing defender that can really slow down Kobe from scoring or distributing to his teammates and getting them involved.
I’d like our chances against virtually every team than LA, no matter how uninspired they have been playing…
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
I understand, but you actually mean you don’t want the Lakers at all. What you say would be as true in the second or third round. I just accept that unless someone upsets them (which is very possible), there is no choice but to play the Lakers at some point.
by 8472species on Mar 16, 2010 12:13 PM MDT up reply actions
I could deal with the uninterested Lakers...
No one can deal with the focused Lakers…Game, Set & Championship…
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
who can upset the Lakers?
But that it’s not a Suns question, we should also have a poll on which team is most likely to upset the Lakers (so that the Suns can avoid them). I’ve wondered why the Jazz, being so physical and smart, don’t do better against them.
Because the Lakers are really too long and big for them to deal with as well...
Boozer and Okur are mediocre defenders at best and they simply don’t match-up well with the Lakers front line..Throw in a great closer like Kobe and the Jazz will struggle to win 2 games in a series against the Lakers..
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...
The Jazz have no good interior defenders which is why Amar’e has an easy time playing against them, but they are still big guys who will crash the boards. This is the reason why the Jazz won’t win a title. They’re pretty much the same team since 06 with the exception of a few role players. Until they get a guy like Ben Wallace they won’t go far.
I agree..Bottom line is that the Jazz won't get it done against LA...
The teams that give LA problems are Denver and Dallas (Who now is like a lesser version of them..).Both teams are athletic and have some length…Maybe that is the key…
Especially since Derek fisher turned into the point guard version of Bryant Reeves….Sloooooowwwwwwwwwwww……….
"I especially liked the part where I dunked on the McDonalds All-American dude..."
Anonymous high-school player after a Virginia basketball state championship game...

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