To keep Horford around the Hawks must avoid another 2nd Rd flop and develop greater mental toughness this season. JSmith finds a new team if the Hawks receive fair value in any trade. With DEN-Melo all but over the Nuggets can facilitate a JSmith-to-PHO deal. Assuming a Melo deal happens prior to the season opener, DEN overhauls its roster with this trade.
PHO: JRich and Dudley for JSmith
+: JSmith only 24—JSmith-Lopez will tangle with Bynum-Gasol for yrs. to come
-: JRich perfectly complements Nash on the offensive end and his clutch scoring will be sorely missed; Dudley only starting to realize how good he can become—unfortunately Clark/picks in place of Dudley probably doesn’t convince DET to bite on this deal
DEN: Billups and Nene for JRich and Prince
+: provides Karl w/hard-working, team-first, high-IQ vets; sets Lawson up for a break-out yr. (Lawson/JRich one of the most athletic backcourt duos out there); JRich/Prince contracts expire in 2011
-: Nene underappreciated; Birdman plays major minutes unless Melo deal brings back a legit C (ie Brook Lopez); will be difficult to convince JRich or Prince to resign in the middle of what looks to be a tumultuous rebuilding yr.
ATL: JSmith, Bibby and Zaza for Billups and Nene
+: Hawks now don’t blink in close games against the EC elite; Horford moves over to PF; JJ no longer faces constant pressure to be the playmaker and can dish to Billups in late-game situations
-: no real legit backup C in a physical EC (if Nene logs more minutes watch for injuries or fatigue later in playoffs)—Boozer, Noah, Howard, Garnett and Shaq loom if Hawks advance to 2nd Rd
DET: Prince for Dudley, Bibby and Zaza
+: much upside to a young core of Stuckey-Bynum-Daye-Dudley-Jerebko-Monroe
-: Bynum wants to start and Bibby may resent significantly reduced minutes—PG and PF/C logjam (Maxiell anyone?) would have to be resolved in a later Rip trade
__ = likely traded before end of 10-11 season