I know basing predictions on stats will cause endless arguments here. Screw it, I'll do it anyways. Basing the outlook purely on WP48 numbers and minimal tweaking produces a not so rosy outlook. Look at it this way, I don't think Gordon at max contract would have made any difference. Anyways there could be 100 disclaimers to go with this. I know WP48 doesn't fully document defense nor does past results take into account what improvements could come to a player from better teammates or a better system (or a worst situation for the player). This is merely an estimation so here goes....
So the stats are (WP48 Past season/WP Two seasons ago/WP estimate this year....Total WP expected)
Redd (or similar): -0.019/DNP/0.00...0.0
Total wins projected: 27.3
Seems in line with my personal expectation of about a 30-52 season. I hope I am wrong but people are likely to see the additions of Scola and Beasley are not the answer. I show Nash worth almost 7 wins more than Dragic over an 82 game season and if Dudley was a starter and Beasley came off the bench the team would see wins projected go up by almost 5. Those two changes right there would make this a 42-40 team almost exactly in line with what we saw last year.
So where do we get better than expected production this year to make the numbers come out better?