Last year, the Phoenix Suns earned the last-ever 25% chance to grab the No. 1 overall draft pick in the NBA’s lottery system. No team will ever have such a big chance again, and the Suns used every ounce of luck to get the top pick after all.
They used it on generational center prospect Deandre Ayton, though all of the top five picks in that historic draft could end up making multiple All-Star teams. All of Ayton, Marvin Bagley III, Trae Young, Luka Doncic and Jaren Jackson Jr. have All-NBA talent and measurables. Even some later picks like Wendell Carter Jr., Collin Sexton and Mitchell Robinson, among others, could some day vault to the top.
One day, the 2018 Draft could rival the 2003 for All-NBA talent. This year, the draft is not quite so deep.
In fact, the top overall prospect is head and shoulders above the rest of the prospects, with a group of prospects a full tier below. Zion Williamson is the crown jewel, and the Suns have once again secured the top odds at drafting him when the lottery balls are pulled.
Beginning this year, the new NBA Draft lottery odds go no higher than 14% for any team, and the Suns are among three teams with those same odds at No. 1 overall.
New York, Cleveland and Phoenix all have the best odds at picking in the Top-4 (52.1%) but have the best chances to drop out of the Top 5. The Knicks can’t drop further than No. 5, while the Cavaliers and Suns round out the worst-case scenario orders (33.1%).
Here are all the odds, thanks to tankathon.com:
And from the same site, here’s the ranking of top prospects:
Could the Suns possibly win the lottery again? Or, will they fall to the worst possible position?
Where will the Suns land after the lottery?
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